Saving Seafood

NOAA predicts above-normal 2025 Atlantic hurricane season

May 27, 2025 — Forecasters within NOAA’s National Weather Service predict above-normal hurricane activity in the Atlantic basin this year.

NOAA’s outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which goes from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 30% chance of a near-normal season, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.

The agency is forecasting a range of 13 to 19 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 6-10 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3-5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA has a 70% confidence in these ranges.

“NOAA and the National Weather Service are using the most advanced weather models and cutting-edge hurricane tracking systems to provide Americans with real-time storm forecasts and warnings,” said Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. “With these models and forecasting tools, we have never been more prepared for hurricane season.”

“As we witnessed last year with significant inland flooding from hurricanes Helene and Debby, the impacts of hurricanes can reach far beyond coastal communities,” said Acting NOAA Administrator Laura Grimm. “NOAA is critical for the delivery of early and accurate forecasts and warnings, and provides the scientific expertise needed to save lives and property.”

Read the full article at NOAA Fisheries

Biden Taps A Former Top Scientist At NOAA To Lead The Weather And Climate Agency

April 26, 2021 — President Biden is nominating Rick Spinrad to lead the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the government’s premier agency on climate science which oversees the National Weather Service.

Prior to his current role as a professor of oceanography at Oregon State University, Spinrad served as NOAA’s top scientist under President Obama and the U.S. representative to the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission.

The nomination comes at a difficult moment in NOAA’s history. The agency has been without an official, Senate-confirmed leader since former President Donald Trump took office in January 2017, after his two nominees to lead the agency failed to garner enough support to win a full vote before the Senate.

If Spinrad manages to win over the Senate, he will have to contend with a challenge beyond the agency’s already-rigorous scientific mandate: restoring public confidence in a traditionally apolitical agency marred by political scandal.

Read the full story at NPR

Biden administration proposes record $6.9 billion budget for NOAA

April 13, 2021 — President Biden’s administration has proposed a budget increase for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration that would be the biggest in the agency’s history if approved by Congress.

The proposed budget would provide $6.9 billion in funding for the agency, a $1.4 billion increase from the budget enacted for 2021 and nearly $2.3 billion above the amount proposed by Donald Trump’s administration, or roughly 50 percent more.

The increase would infuse a massive amount of resources to support the agency, whose responsibilities include weather forecasting, climate research and services, ocean research, the health of the nation’s fisheries and protection of endangered marine species.

“These additional funds would allow NOAA to expand its climate observation and forecasting work and provide better data and information to decision-makers, support coastal resilience programs that would help protect communities from the economic and environmental impacts of climate change, and invest in modern infrastructure to enable these critical efforts,” according to the Biden administration’s budget document, released Friday.

Read the full story at The Washington Post

NOAA launches two coastal models for mariner safety on West Coast, Gulf of Mexico

March 31, 2021 — The following was released by NOAA:

Today, NOAA announced two new coastal condition forecast models that will enhance critical decision making for mariners along the West Coast and Northern Gulf of Mexico. The models provide continuous quality-controlled data on water levels, currents, water temperature and salinity out to 72 hours.

Forecasts from both models are used by commercial and recreational mariners, fisherman, emergency managers, search and rescue responders, and National Weather Service marine weather forecasters.

“The West Coast model will help the Coast Guard with search and rescue and has implications for other stakeholder groups, such as navigation, shipping, and fisheries,” said Nicole LeBoeuf, acting director of NOAA’s National Ocean Service. “The Gulf model improves the safety of marine navigation in an area vital to the safe movement of energy resources and other shipping.”

These two new models join a network that now totals 15 such models in coastal waters around the United States. The models–located in critical ports, harbors, estuaries, Great Lakes, and coastal waters–are part of a larger national backbone of real-time data, tidal predictions, tide and lakes datums, and operational modeling that enables users to make the best decisions for their needs.

NOAA’s Satellite and Information Service supports a key role in developing the West Coast Operational Forecast System, providing near-real-time satellite observations, including temperature, sea-surface height and coastal currents.

“The West Coast operational system is the latest example of NOAA’s commitment to bringing its expertise and data resources together to improve the way Americans live, work and do business,” said Steve Volz, director of NOAA’s Satellite and Information Service.

The Northern Gulf of Mexico model combines three models into one and extends the model to include coverage up the Mississippi River to Baton Rouge, Lake Pontchartrain and Bartaria Bay in Louisiana, and along the Corpus Christi waterways of Texas, as well as south to the Mexico border. The seaports covered by this model are some of the busiest in the nation in terms of tonnage, energy, value and other measures.

7.5-magnitude “shaker” prompts tsunami warning from Aleutians to Kenai Peninsula

October 20, 2020 — Residents of coastal Alaska, from Sand Point to Kodiak, scrambled for higher ground and motored boats into deeper water Monday afternoon after a magnitude 7.5 earthquake hit near Sand Point and triggered a tsunami warning.

Large waves did not appear, but life in the communities was disrupted by the emergency.

Residents from Unalaska to the Kenai Peninsula reported to the USGS that they’d felt the earthquake. The National Weather Service downgraded the warning to an advisory toward the end of the afternoon.

Raynelle Gardner, who works at the Sand Point School, said residents felt the violent shaking of the first quake. She hadn’t felt any aftershocks because she had been driving, but as she spoke on the phone, she watched the Alaska Earthquake Center website as it ticked off one that rippled through the area.

Read the full story at Alaska Public Media

For Third Time, Senate Commerce Committee Approves Barry Myers to Lead NOAA

April 3, 2019 — WASHINGTON — The following was released by the National Coalition for Fishing Communities:

This morning, the U.S. Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation approved Barry Myers, former CEO of the weather forecasting company AccuWeather, to lead NOAA. This is the third time the Commerce Committee has approved Mr. Myers, but his nomination has yet to be brought to a vote before the full Senate. The National Coalition for Fishing Communities (NCFC) urges everyone in the seafood industry to send a message to their Senators supporting Mr. Myers’ nomination.

In an effort organized by the NCFC in late 2017, representatives of 71 commercial fishing companies and organizations and 31 fishing vessels from around the country signed a letter urging the Senate to confirm Mr. Myers.

“As CEO of AccuWeather, Mr. Myers has a proven record of success, working alongside scientists,” the fishing groups wrote at the time.

The industry signers touted Mr. Myers’ record as a fellow of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) and a recipient of the prestigious AMS Leadership Award. He has also served on the Environmental Information Services Working Group of NOAA’s Science Advisory Board for 5 different heads of NOAA’s National Weather Service, under presidents of both parties.

Brad Warren & Julia Sanders: Washington’s Initiative 1631 will help fight ocean acidification

November 2, 2018 — We write today to announce our support for Washington’s Initiative 1631. As businesses who rely on healthy fisheries for a significant portion of our income, we believe this is a well-designed policy that offers us – and our customers – the best possible chance against an uncertain future fraught with the threats of changing ocean conditions.

It’s become clear that our fisheries need a lifeline. Here in Washington, we are experiencing the worst ocean acidification anywhere in the world. Research has firmly established the cause of this problem: emissions from burning coal, oil and gas mix into the ocean, altering its chemistry. The consequences loomed into headlines a decade ago when the oyster industry lost millions and nearly went out of business during the oyster seed crisis. Temporary and limited adaptation measures in hatcheries are keeping them in business, but in the rest of the oceans, fisheries that put dinner on billions of tables are at risk. Here in the Northwest, harvests are already being eroded and even shut down by the effects of unchecked carbon emissions.

The “warm blob,” an unprecedented marine heatwave off the West Coast, reached its height in 2015 and caused mass fatalities. In the Columbia River, a quarter-million salmon died. The largest recorded toxic algae bloom shut down the Dungeness crab fishery for months. The food web crashed, and marine creatures were spotted farther north than ever before. Sea surface temperatures never returned to their previous norm, and new research indicates another blob is forming.

Summers have become synonymous with a smoky haze from wildfires causing poor visibility and poor health – this summer the National Weather Service warned even healthy adults in some Washington areas to stay indoors due to hazardous air quality. At the same time, our iconic orca whales are starving from a lack of Chinook salmon. The Chinook in turn are suffering from a lack of the zooplankton that juveniles eat.

Research has made it clear that some of our most lucrative fisheries are vulnerable to ocean acidification: king crab, Dungeness crab, and salmon. Scientists also warm that combining stressors – like warming with ocean acidification – makes survival in the ocean all the more precarious.

Read the full op-ed at Seafood Source

 

West Coast Fisheries Worried El Nino Likely to Return in 2018-19

August 31, 2018 — SEAFOOD NEWS — As salmon and tuna seasons wind down and Dungeness crabbers start thinking about the winter fishery on the West Coast, some wonder: Will El Niño return?

Recent news articles have reported a 70 percent chance of warm waters in the equatorial Pacific will affect the West Coast.

On land, that could mean a dry winter coming after a summer and fall in which smoke from wildfires filled the skies in the West. On the ocean, it could mean warmer waters that may temporarily disrupt an environment that is accustomed to cooler waters. Some fisheries could benefit months or years after an El Niño. Others — some the most commercially important — may have difficult seasons ahead.

“In summary, there is ~60 percent chance of El Niño in the Northern Hemisphere [of] fall 2018 (September-November), increasing to ~70 percent during winter 2018-19,” the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center wrote in an El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion earlier this month.

However, each El Niño and warm water period is different and creates effects to varying degrees. The extreme warm water period in 2015-16, “The Blob,” proved disastrous to Dungeness and rock crab fisheries because harmful algal blooms thrived. It also hampered the ocean survivability of coho salmon. In years past, pink shrimp populations plummeted but then bounced back after El Niño events.

“When El Niño is developing … short-term fluctuations in the near-surface winds [in the Pacific] can have substantial effects,” Emily Becker wrote on a Climate.gov blog in early August. “A period of weaker trade winds can help build El Niño’s warmer surface waters, while a period of stronger trade winds can cool the surface and impede El Niño’s growth. It appears that the trade winds are currently weakening, and may continue to do so through the next week, likely helping push things in the El Niño direction.”

Weather forecasters caution that making any predictions beyond a week to 10 days is uncertain. The Climate Prediction Center will make its next El Niño report and update in mid-September.

This story originally appeared on Seafood News, it is republished here with permission.

 

NEFMC Scallop Meetings – Weather UPDATE: Webinar Option Now Available

March 20, 2018 — The following was released by the New England Fishery Management Council: 

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Warning with hazardous conditions for a large part of the Northeast region.

The New England Fishery Management Council’s Scallop Advisory Panel and Scallop Committee meetings will be held on schedule.  However, since the storm is posing travel complications for many attendees, the Council has added a webinar option for remote access to both meetings.

WHEN AND WHERE:  The meetings will be held in Providence, RI at the Hotel Providence.

WEBINAR:  Register for the webinar HERE.

HOW THIS WORKS:  Participants who join the webinar will be in “mute” mode. In order to speak, click the “raise your hand” symbol, and you will be unmuted when the chairman calls on you.

Read the release in its entirety here.

 

WEATHER UPDATE: NEFMC Program Review, Tuesday, March 13 modifications

March 12, 2018 — The following was released by the New England Fishery Management Council:

IMPORTANT WEATHER UPDATE – COUNCIL PROGRAM REVIEW

Due to the incoming winter storm, the New England Fishery Management Council will provide an opportunity for members of the public to speak remotely via webinar during scheduled public comment periods on Tuesday, March 13 during the first day of the Council Program Review.  Here’s what you need to know.

WHEN AND WHERE:  The Council Program Review is scheduled to take place March 13-16, 2018 at the Hilton Garden Inn, Boston Logan Airport. Panel members will be arriving in advance of the storm, and the review meeting will proceed on schedule.

WHAT HAS CHANGED:  The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the first day of the meeting, which will make travel difficult for members of the public who were planning to attend in person. Therefore, the New England Council is expanding the webinar option to accommodate remote public comments during the storm. At present, this option will be available only on Tuesday, March 13.

HOW WILL THIS WORK:  In order to provide remote comments, please follow these steps:

  • Register for the webinar at Council Program Review webinar. This is essentialsince the meeting is not set up to accommodate telephone comments.
  • Review the agenda, which contains specific blocks of time when public comment will be accepted by subject matter. Visit agenda and meeting materials.
  • Email Council Deputy Director Chris Kellogg at ckellogg@nefmc.org. The Council is requesting that members of the public provide advance notice of their intent to comment in order to facilitate scheduling.
  • When the time comes to comment, click on the webinar’s “raise your hand” symbol so the webinar administrator knows you are ready. Program Review Chairman Dan Hull will call on individual commenters who are in the queue. When your name is called, your connection to the meeting will be unmuted so you can speak.  Please limit comments to three minutes or less.

WEBINAR PROBLEMS:  Email Chris Kellogg at ckellogg@nefmc.org if you experience problems with the webinar during the meeting.

FIND OUT MORE:  Additional details about the meeting are available at Council Program Review Information Page.